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Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Implied probability 8%+3
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$92k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +4 points at 03:21 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: Clavicular Charged With Rape, Drugging Person for Sex in Massachusetts — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Clavicular sentenced to prison?
0%50%100%8%21 Sept, 03:02 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now8%
22 Sept, 03:54 UTC8%
22 Sept, 03:21 UTC10%
21 Sept, 03:02 UTC6%

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Braden Eric Peters receives a jail or prison sentence by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if he avoids such a sentence, if all charges are dropped, or if the deadline passes without a qualifying sentencing event. Readers often mistake civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, or public accusations for criminal charges that count toward resolution.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 8%
  • No 92%

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