Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 43% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Nov, 01:09 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Nov, 20:04 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Nov, 10:24 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 09:55 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Nov, 09:19 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 08:58 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Nov, 08:21 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 06:47 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 06:33 UTC | 65% |
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What counts
The outcome depends on South Africa’s annual consumer price inflation for the 12 months ending in December 2026. The market resolves based on the official figure published by Statistics South Africa in its January 2027 report. Readers often mistake the release date of the data for the deadline, but resolution occurs only when the official report is published.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 43%
- No 57%
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