Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
The market favoured Yes at 88% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$181k
Liquidity$41k
Resolved1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 16 Sept, 23:56 UTC | 100% |
| 15 Sept, 23:56 UTC | 88% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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