Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Implied probability 13%−1
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 11% |
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Donald Trump and Aleksandr Lukashenko must meet in person between January 1 and December 31, 2026. For the No outcome, they do not have such a meeting within that timeframe. Readers often mistake news about trade deals or diplomatic talks for an actual physical meeting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 88%
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