Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$125k
Total volume$141k
Liquidity$200k
Resolved10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 4% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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