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Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Implied probability 28%+5
24-hour volume$47
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$696
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
0%50%100%28%11 Sept, 18:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now28%
12 Sept, 23:01 UTC28%
12 Sept, 22:54 UTC22%
12 Sept, 22:19 UTC22%
12 Sept, 21:37 UTC25%
12 Sept, 21:20 UTC24%
12 Sept, 20:30 UTC24%
12 Sept, 20:23 UTC24%
12 Sept, 19:59 UTC25%
12 Sept, 19:11 UTC25%
12 Sept, 18:59 UTC25%
11 Sept, 18:39 UTC25%

Outcomes

  • Yes 28%
  • No 72%

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