Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Implied probability 23%+1
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$821
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 13 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 23:33 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 25% |
| 12 Sept, 21:20 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 20:30 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 25% |
| 12 Sept, 19:11 UTC | 25% |
| 12 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%
Trade this market on Polymarket →