Asian Games Women: Sri Lanka Women vs India Women
The market favoured India Women at 88% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$86k
Total volume$87k
Liquidity$0
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 05:29 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 03:21 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 17% |
What counts
The market resolves to Sri Lanka Women if they win the scheduled cricket match, and to India Women if they win. A tied result without an on-field tiebreaker or a canceled match results in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the deadline for official statistics as the final cutoff, but the resolution relies on the governing body's data within two hours of the event's conclusion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Sri Lanka Women 0%
- India Women 100%
View this market on Polymarket →