Asian Games Women: Sri Lanka Women vs India Women
Why it moved: −7 points at 02:55 UTC, after Times of India: Chess Olympiad Round 6: How Nihal Sarin blundered his queen in India’s loss — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 06:02 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 05:29 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 03:21 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Sri Lanka Women if they win the scheduled cricket match, and to India Women if they win. A tied result without an on-field tiebreaker or a canceled match results in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the deadline for official statistics as the final cutoff, but the resolution relies on the governing body's data within two hours of the event's conclusion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Sri Lanka Women 2%
- India Women 98%
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