Spread: Colts (-3.5)
Implied probability 52%+1
24-hour volume$53k
Total volume$298k
Liquidity$248k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 1 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 17:41 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 13:51 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Sept, 18:53 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Colts outcome triggers if they win by four points or more. The Commanders outcome applies if they win, tie, or if the Colts win by three points or less. Readers often mistake the point spread for a simple winner-take-all bet rather than a margin of victory requirement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Colts 52%
- Commanders 49%
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