Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$967
Total volume$88k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 02:02 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 01:41 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 00:37 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 23:33 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 11:38 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 09:44 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 22:40 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 13:32 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 12:00 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 15:11 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves based on OpenAI's implied equity valuation at its IPO, calculated by multiplying the final share price by the total fully diluted shares outstanding as stated in the SEC prospectus. The outcome is Yes if this valuation falls between $1.0 trillion and $1.25 trillion, and No otherwise.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%
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