Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Why it moved: +8 points at 14:26 UTC, after Ars Technica: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang summoned by Congress over Chinese espionage concerns — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 69% |
| 7 Nov, 05:37 UTC | 68% |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 67% |
| 7 Nov, 03:39 UTC | 67% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Nov, 20:09 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 19:03 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Nov, 18:05 UTC | 54% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 60% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 09:51 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 09:16 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 60% |
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What counts
NVIDIA must hold the second-largest global market capitalization at the close of trading on November 30, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the source of truth, which relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single financial data provider.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 32%
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