Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$424
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 70% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Aleksandar Vučić is sworn in as Serbia's Prime Minister and Iliana Iotova wins the Bulgarian presidential election. The No outcome applies if either candidate fails to meet these specific criteria.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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