Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Implied probability 100%+61
24-hour volume$753k
Total volume$2.3M
Liquidity$478k
Resolves5 Oct 2026
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of Brazil's October 4, 2026 presidential election. Ties are broken by alphabetical order of last names, and the outcome relies on official results from the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%