Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$37k
Total volume$786k
Liquidity$107k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 20:19 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 19:22 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Sept, 18:56 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 16:34 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 16:25 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 15:58 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%
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