Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 20 Sept, 22:05 UTC | 11% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 11% |
| 20 Sept, 17:40 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Sept, 06:45 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Sept, 05:59 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Sept, 05:21 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Sept, 04:40 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 13% |
| 19 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 21:19 UTC | 11% |
| 19 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 11% |
| 19 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 11% |
| 19 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 15:36 UTC | 13% |
| 19 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 13% |
| 19 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 11% |
| 19 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 12:07 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 13% |
| 19 Sept, 11:11 UTC | 13% |
| 19 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 12% |
| 19 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 11% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 12% |
| 17 Sept, 19:15 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves based on who ranks first in Google’s official 2026 Year in Search Global Athletes list. Readers often mistake the timing, thinking the result depends on daily search trends or a specific event like Messi's recent goal rather than the annual compiled report. The outcome is determined solely by that published list, not by real-time data or other sports achievements.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 90%
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