Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 2% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves based on the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on October 10, 2026. Readers must check the official "Daily Extract" from that specific source to see if the value is 29°C or lower. The most common error is ignoring the cutoff date; if data is not published by 11:59 PM ET on October 17, the market automatically resolves to the lowest bracket.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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