Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 25?
Implied probability 0%−2
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 2% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on October 25, 2026. For the 'Yes' outcome, that maximum temperature must be exactly 28°C; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but only the initial publication in the Observatory's Daily Extract counts, not later revisions or other weather reports.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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