Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?
Implied probability 6%+1
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$47k
Resolves29 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the closing price on Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET on October 29 exceeds $84,000. It resolves to No if that specific price is $84,000 or lower. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any Bitcoin price counts, but only the Binance BTC/USDT close matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%
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