Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Implied probability 14%
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$21k
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 20 Sept, 04:09 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 15% |
| 19 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 19:11 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 18:03 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 16:42 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 16:24 UTC | 14% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Sept, 02:37 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 02:23 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 01:49 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 00:04 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Sept, 23:56 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves based on whether a Republican wins the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate counts as Republican only if they are the official nominee of the Republican Party, not if they run as an independent or represent another party.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 87%
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