Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Implied probability 18%−1
24-hour volume$550k
Total volume$6.7M
Liquidity$193k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Yes resolves if Kylian Mbappé is named the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or by France Football. No resolves if he does not win or if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the deadline for the award ceremony date rather than the final resolution cutoff.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%