Will Lamine Yamal win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
Implied probability 26%−1
24-hour volume$149
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lamine Yamal is officially named the winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. It resolves to No if any other player wins or if no winner is declared by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked story about Harry Kane as relevant, but that event does not determine the outcome for this specific market.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 75%
Trade this market on Polymarket →