Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 06:05 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms receives the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as confirmed by an official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The market resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the deadline for the prize year or assume other news sources determine the winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%
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