Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the International Criminal Court is named as a recipient of the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize in an official announcement by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. It resolves to No if the court does not win or if no such announcement occurs by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked EU Sakharov Prize award for a Nobel win, but only the Nobel Peace Prize counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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