Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 14%+1
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$868k
Liquidity$170k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 14 Sept, 15:34 UTC | 14% |
| 14 Sept, 08:28 UTC | 14% |
| 13 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 13% |
| 12 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%
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