Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$61k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The outcome is Yes if Nvidia owns the model with the highest rank at that specific time and source; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Musk for the resolution criteria, but only the official leaderboard data matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →