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NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?

Implied probability 76%+4
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
0%50%100%76%15 Sept, 04:33 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now76%
16 Sept, 11:33 UTC76%
16 Sept, 11:19 UTC77%
16 Sept, 10:54 UTC76%
16 Sept, 07:08 UTC73%
16 Sept, 06:54 UTC73%
16 Sept, 06:24 UTC73%
16 Sept, 05:12 UTC75%
16 Sept, 04:43 UTC77%
15 Sept, 04:33 UTC77%

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Outcomes

  • Yes 76%
  • No 24%

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