Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Implied probability 43%
24-hour volume$80k
Total volume$4.7M
Liquidity$381k
Resolves19 Apr 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires Marine Le Pen to win the 2027 French presidential election according to official results from the French Ministry of the Interior. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins that election. Readers often mistake the linked Senate news for a relevant event, but only the final presidential election result counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 43%
- No 57%