Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
The market favoured Over at 59% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$203k
Total volume$201k
Liquidity$172k
Resolved7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 7 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 100% |
| 7 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 59% |
| 7 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 58% |
What counts
The Over outcome occurs if Nottingham Forest and Manchester City score three or more goals combined during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their total is less than three goals. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just the 90 minutes of regular play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 100%
- Under 0%
View this market on Polymarket →