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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$24k
Total volume$4.0M
Liquidity$189k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
0%50%100%10%1 Nov, 04:15 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now10%
6 Nov, 12:22 UTC10%
6 Nov, 11:12 UTC10%
6 Nov, 00:20 UTC10%
5 Nov, 21:56 UTC9%
5 Nov, 20:04 UTC9%
5 Nov, 19:57 UTC9%
5 Nov, 18:50 UTC9%
5 Nov, 16:51 UTC10%
4 Nov, 23:04 UTC7%
4 Nov, 20:23 UTC9%
4 Nov, 19:49 UTC9%
4 Nov, 17:42 UTC11%
4 Nov, 17:05 UTC12%
4 Nov, 15:36 UTC11%
4 Nov, 04:03 UTC12%
4 Nov, 00:07 UTC11%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC11%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC11%
3 Nov, 13:40 UTC13%
3 Nov, 07:26 UTC12%
1 Nov, 04:15 UTC14%

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Outcomes

  • Yes 10%
  • No 91%

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