Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$166k
Liquidity$168k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
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What counts
The market resolves by checking the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The outcome is Yes if Microsoft owns the model with the highest rank; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for midnight or assume any public ranking counts instead of this specific leaderboard.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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