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Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Implied probability 8%−20
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$63k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2028

Why it moved: −27 points at 13:06 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Real Falls on Lula Win, Anthropic Planning to File for IPO — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
0%50%100%8%21 Oct, 15:50 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now8%
26 Oct, 13:06 UTC8%
26 Oct, 12:47 UTC35%
26 Oct, 12:25 UTC28%
26 Oct, 11:49 UTC28%
26 Oct, 01:58 UTC25%
25 Oct, 23:35 UTC25%
25 Oct, 22:45 UTC26%
25 Oct, 20:05 UTC26%
25 Oct, 19:46 UTC28%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC28%
25 Oct, 11:14 UTC28%
25 Oct, 10:35 UTC28%
25 Oct, 07:53 UTC27%
25 Oct, 00:29 UTC30%
24 Oct, 23:48 UTC28%
24 Oct, 23:26 UTC31%
24 Oct, 22:58 UTC32%
24 Oct, 22:12 UTC34%
24 Oct, 21:58 UTC34%
23 Oct, 16:36 UTC14%
23 Oct, 16:29 UTC15%
23 Oct, 15:49 UTC17%
23 Oct, 15:27 UTC17%
23 Oct, 14:32 UTC20%
23 Oct, 13:45 UTC21%
23 Oct, 13:11 UTC22%
23 Oct, 12:43 UTC23%
23 Oct, 12:22 UTC23%
23 Oct, 11:55 UTC24%
23 Oct, 11:27 UTC24%
23 Oct, 09:21 UTC24%
23 Oct, 07:54 UTC24%
23 Oct, 07:26 UTC24%
23 Oct, 06:59 UTC25%
23 Oct, 05:18 UTC26%
23 Oct, 04:57 UTC25%
23 Oct, 04:24 UTC25%
23 Oct, 03:53 UTC26%
23 Oct, 02:33 UTC33%
23 Oct, 01:18 UTC33%
23 Oct, 00:55 UTC34%
23 Oct, 00:28 UTC35%
22 Oct, 22:25 UTC51%
22 Oct, 21:57 UTC50%
22 Oct, 21:23 UTC52%
22 Oct, 20:55 UTC52%
22 Oct, 19:44 UTC49%
22 Oct, 19:03 UTC49%
22 Oct, 18:56 UTC48%
22 Oct, 18:27 UTC41%
22 Oct, 17:45 UTC42%
22 Oct, 17:24 UTC43%
22 Oct, 16:47 UTC45%
22 Oct, 16:26 UTC42%
22 Oct, 15:50 UTC42%
21 Oct, 15:50 UTC35%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The outcome "Yes" resolves if Anthropic officially announces an IPO under the ticker symbol $ANTH or a variant like $ANTH.A, with resolution based on the primary exchange's listing page. The outcome "No" applies if Anthropic does not announce such an IPO by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or uses a different ticker symbol that is not considered equivalent to $ANTH.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 8%
  • No 92%

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