Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
The market favoured Ravens at 57% a day out, but Bengals won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$316k
Total volume$327k
Liquidity$145k
Resolved25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 25 Oct, 20:33 UTC | 100% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 36% |
What counts
The Bengals outcome triggers if they win by four points or more. The Ravens outcome triggers if the Bengals win by three points or fewer, or if the Ravens win outright. Readers often forget that overtime counts toward the final margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bengals 100%
- Ravens 0%
View this market on Polymarket →