Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$833
Total volume$75k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 14% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on Anthropic's final share price on its first day of trading. The outcome depends on whether the resulting market capitalization falls between $2.5 trillion and $2.75 trillion. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a potential $2 trillion valuation for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%
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