Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?
Why it moved: −14 points at 08:48 UTC, after Times of India: ‘Schemes now to be determined by Voter ID, not Aadhaar’: Rahul alleges BJP conspiracy — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 22:14 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 21:52 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 20:31 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 08:48 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 08:48 UTC | 39% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Indian National Congress wins the most seats in the February–March 2027 Punjab Legislative Assembly election. The No outcome applies if any other party or independent candidate wins more seats than the Congress.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 66%
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