Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
The market favoured Yes at 65% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 0% |
What counts
For the "Yes" outcome to occur, Donald Trump must not endorse any party in the 2026 Israeli legislative election by December 31, 2026, or the day before the election at 11:59 PM ET. For the "No" outcome, he must announce support for a specific candidate or party within that timeframe.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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