Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$113k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on who officially holds the position of head of state in Venezuela at 12 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Readers must look to official Venezuelan government records or the United Nations to confirm this status, as informal claims or prior terms do not count. The most common error is assuming that a nomination or announcement before the deadline is sufficient for a "Yes" outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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