Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 12:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 23:16 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 66% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the song appears on the official list of nominees announced by AMPAS on January 21, 2027. It resolves to No if the song is not nominated by that date or if no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake other award nominations for Academy nominations, but only the official AMPAS announcement counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 38%
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