Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$31k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves30 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 11:50 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on whether the European Central Bank (ECB) announces a 50+ basis point increase in its deposit facility rate during the October 28-29, 2026 meeting. The outcome depends solely on official ECB statements or releases from that specific meeting, as listed on their calendar.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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