Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Portugal wins the match against Norway within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time on October 4, 2026. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or loss, is canceled without a make-up, or remains unresolved due to lack of data. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on official statistics being published within two hours after the event concludes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%
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