England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England
The market favoured England at 59% a day out, but Pakistan won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +56 points at 16:21 UTC, after SkySports: UNBELIEVABLE! The moment Pakistan win thriller by ONE wicket! — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 91% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 08:38 UTC | 43% |
What counts
Pakistan wins if they take more wickets than England in the scheduled One Day International match. England wins if they take more wickets than Pakistan. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which occurs two hours after the match ends unless official statistics are published sooner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Pakistan 100%
- England 0%
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