Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
The market favoured New York Yankees at 71% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$34k
Resolved23 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 02:31 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 31% |
| 23 Sept, 10:17 UTC | 28% |
What counts
The market resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win by two runs or more. Otherwise, it resolves to New York Yankees. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on when the game is actually played if postponed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays 0%
- New York Yankees 100%
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