Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Implied probability 1%−29
24-hour volume$44k
Total volume$44k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves14 Nov 2026
Why it moved: −35 points at 20:28 UTC, after SkySports: Norris claims Sao Paulo GP pole after treacherous rain-hit qualifying — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 21:22 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 20:28 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Nov, 18:38 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Nov, 18:25 UTC | 28% |
| 7 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 34% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Max Verstappen is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during qualifying for the 2026 Brazilian Grand Prix. The No outcome applies if any other driver achieves that fastest qualifying time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 100%
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