Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Implied probability 49%+2
24-hour volume$250k
Total volume$250k
Liquidity$250k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Thunder outcome requires Oklahoma City to win by nine points or more. The Nuggets outcome applies if Denver wins outright or loses by eight points or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline, but the result depends on the final score after overtime, not just regulation time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Thunder 49%
- Nuggets 52%
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