Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
The market favoured England at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$295k
Total volume$848
Liquidity$7k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 17:54 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 90% |
| 22 Sept, 13:23 UTC | 92% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Sept, 11:50 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 89% |
| 21 Sept, 09:42 UTC | 88% |
What counts
The market resolves to England if they win the scheduled ODI match, and to Sri Lanka if they win. It resolves to a 50-50 split if the match is tied without a Super Over, canceled, or abandoned. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution source instead of waiting for the official statistics from the governing body.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- England 100%
- Sri Lanka 0%
View this market on Polymarket →