Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$709k
Liquidity$126k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 00:16 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 02:00 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 01:11 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if they lose or are eliminated from contention before winning. Readers often mistake a single player's injury for an elimination, but the market depends solely on the final championship result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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