Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$28k
Total volume$6.6M
Liquidity$0
Resolved6 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 09:36 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 1% |
What counts
The market resolves based on who finishes first in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings, using F1's tiebreak rules if necessary. It closes as soon as the official results of the final race of the 2026 season are known. Readers often mistake the linked story about a 2027 teammate arrangement for relevant information, but only the 2026 championship outcome matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →