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Game Spread: Elena Rybakina (-2.5) vs Linda Noskova (+2.5)

Implied probability 51%−5
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves15 Nov 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 22:56 UTC, after www.espn.com: No. 1 Rybakina withdraws from WTA Finals for medical reasons — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Game Spread: Elena Rybakina (-2.5) vs Linda Noskova (+2.5)
0%50%100%51%6 Nov, 22:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now51%
7 Nov, 22:56 UTC51%
6 Nov, 22:56 UTC55%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

Elena Rybakina wins if she beats Linda Noskova by three or more total games in their scheduled match. Otherwise, Linda Noskova wins. Readers often mistake a withdrawal before the match starts for a loss, but this scenario triggers a 50-50 resolution instead.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Elena Rybakina 51%
  • Linda Noskova 50%

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