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Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?

Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$101k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
0%50%100%1%15 Sept, 21:47 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
22 Sept, 18:58 UTC1%
22 Sept, 16:28 UTC2%
22 Sept, 09:20 UTC1%
22 Sept, 08:56 UTC2%
22 Sept, 07:37 UTC1%
22 Sept, 06:45 UTC1%
22 Sept, 03:09 UTC2%
22 Sept, 02:27 UTC2%
21 Sept, 18:34 UTC2%
21 Sept, 14:07 UTC2%
21 Sept, 12:02 UTC2%
21 Sept, 10:58 UTC2%
21 Sept, 06:57 UTC2%
21 Sept, 01:48 UTC2%
20 Sept, 19:47 UTC2%
20 Sept, 08:57 UTC2%
20 Sept, 03:07 UTC3%
20 Sept, 02:34 UTC3%
20 Sept, 01:51 UTC3%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC3%
18 Sept, 05:25 UTC3%
18 Sept, 02:44 UTC3%
18 Sept, 00:10 UTC3%
17 Sept, 12:55 UTC3%
17 Sept, 10:55 UTC3%
17 Sept, 08:44 UTC3%
17 Sept, 02:45 UTC3%
17 Sept, 00:11 UTC3%
16 Sept, 22:40 UTC3%
16 Sept, 22:09 UTC3%
16 Sept, 12:02 UTC3%
16 Sept, 11:54 UTC3%
16 Sept, 09:19 UTC3%
16 Sept, 08:41 UTC3%
16 Sept, 08:14 UTC3%
16 Sept, 07:01 UTC3%
16 Sept, 06:45 UTC3%
16 Sept, 04:26 UTC3%
16 Sept, 03:06 UTC3%
16 Sept, 02:59 UTC3%
16 Sept, 01:31 UTC2%
15 Sept, 21:47 UTC3%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The market resolves based on which team wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If a team gets eliminated from playoff contention, that outcome becomes "No." Readers often mistake regular-season news for the final result, but only the actual World Series winner matters.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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