Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
Implied probability 80%−3
24-hour volume$74k
Total volume$83k
Liquidity$73k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 07:14 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Sept, 01:17 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 09:40 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 08:30 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 02:17 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 07:35 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 07:21 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 06:17 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 05:49 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 03:37 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Sept, 20:45 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to England if they win the scheduled ODI match, and to Sri Lanka if they win it. A tied result without a Super Over or any permanent cancellation leads to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the deadline for checking official statistics, which must be published within two hours of the event's conclusion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- England 80%
- Sri Lanka 21%
Trade this market on Polymarket →