Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
Implied probability 3%+1
24-hour volume$22k
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 18:37 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 3% |
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What counts
Manchester United FC wins if they beat Chelsea by three goals or more in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Chelsea FC wins if Manchester United does not achieve that margin of victory. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just regular play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Manchester United FC 3%
- Chelsea FC 97%
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