Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
The market favoured Arsenal FC at 53% a day out, but Fleetwood Town FC won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$52k
Total volume$55k
Liquidity$48k
Resolved27 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 53% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 52% |
What counts
Arsenal FC wins if they beat Fleetwood Town by three goals or more in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Otherwise, the market resolves to Fleetwood Town FC. Readers often mistake the deadline for the kickoff time instead of the end of regular play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Arsenal FC 0%
- Fleetwood Town FC 100%
View this market on Polymarket →