Spread: Bears (-2.5)
Implied probability 55%
24-hour volume$564k
Total volume$578k
Liquidity$1.5M
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 55% |
| 20 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 56% |
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What counts
The Bears outcome triggers if they win by three points or more. The Patriots outcome triggers if they win by two points or fewer, or if the game ends in a tie. Readers often forget that overtime counts toward the final margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bears 55%
- Patriots 46%
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